Vagner Rocha
11–4–0 · Lightweight · Age 44 · 4 UFC fights
Skill (today)
+1.57
Uncertainty (σ)
1.62
As of
2026-09-13
Skill trajectory
Line: estimated skill after each fight. Band: ±1σ uncertainty.
Fight ledger
| Date | Opponent | Result | Method | Event | Model P(win), pre-fight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-22 | Sérgio Moraes | Win | DQ | BJJ Stars 18 | |
| 2025-08-31 | Victor Hugo | Draw | DEC | Craig Jones Invitational 2 | |
| 2025-08-31 | Kaynan Duarte | Draw | DEC | Craig Jones Invitational 2 | |
| 2025-08-30 | Elijah Dorsey | Draw | DEC | Craig Jones Invitational 2 | |
| 2025-07-25 | Kit Dale | Win | DEC | WNO 29: Rocha vs. Dale | |
| 2024-10-11 | Calon Sabino | Win | SUB | Karate Combat 50 | |
| 2024-05-10 | Nicholas Meregali | Loss | SUB | WNO 23: Meregali vs. Rocha | |
| 2024-01-26 | Luke Griffith | Win | DEC | Karate Combat | |
| 2023-12-10 | Victor Silverio | Win | SUB | UFC Fight Pass Invitational 5 | |
| 2023-06-29 | Fellipe Andrew | Win | SUB | UFC Fight Pass Invitational 4 | |
| 2023-06-29 | Nick Rodriguez | Loss | SUB | UFC Fight Pass Invitational 4 | |
| 2022-09-18 | Eoghan O’Flanagan | Win | SUB | ADCC World Championships | |
| 2022-09-18 | Lucas Barbosa | Loss | DEC | ADCC World Championships | |
| 2022-09-17 | Pedro Marinho | Win | DEC | ADCC World Championships | |
| 2022-09-17 | Izaak Michell | Win | DEC | ADCC World Championships | |
| 2021-10-10 | Diego Ramalho | Win | DEC | IBJJF No-Gi Worlds | |
| 2021-10-10 | Pedro Marinho | Loss | DEC | IBJJF No-Gi Worlds | |
| 2021-05-28 | Josh Hinger | Win | DEC | WNO: Ryan vs. Panza | |
| 2021-04-24 | William Tackett | Win | SUB | Fight 2 Win 171 | |
| 2021-03-26 | Gordon Ryan | Loss | SUB | WNO: Ryan vs. Rocha | |
| 2021-02-19 | Yuri Simoes | Win | SUB | Fight 2 Win 164 | |
| 2020-12-11 | Jon Blank | Win | DEC | WNO: Duarte vs. Vieira | |
| 2020-11-14 | Gabriel Almeida | Win | SUB | Fight 2 Win 157 | |
| 2020-09-06 | Alexandre Ribeiro | Draw | DEC | BJJBET 1 | |
| 2020-07-31 | Ronaldo Souza Junior | Win | DEC | WNO 3: Tonon vs. Leon | |
| 2020-06-27 | Kody Steele | Win | DEC | Third Coast Grappling | |
| 2020-06-27 | Pedro Marinho | Win | DEC | Third Coast Grappling | |
| 2020-06-27 | Roberto Jimenez | Loss | DEC | Third Coast Grappling | |
| 2020-05-31 | Craig Jones | Loss | SUB | Submission Underground 14 | |
| 2020-02-21 | Thiago Moisés | Win | DEC | SubStars: Poirier vs. Tonon | |
| 2019-11-10 | Tye Ruotolo | Loss | DEC | Fight 2 Win 131 | |
| 2019-09-29 | JT Torres | Loss | DEC | 2019 ADCC World Championships: Day 2 | |
| 2019-09-29 | Dante Leon | Win | DEC | 2019 ADCC World Championships: Day 2 | |
| 2019-09-28 | Servio Tulio | Win | SUB | 2019 ADCC World Championships: Day 1 | |
| 2019-09-28 | Celso Venicius | Win | DEC | 2019 ADCC World Championships: Day 1 | |
| 2019-07-27 | JT Torres | Loss | DEC | Fight 2 Win 119 | |
| 2019-07-04 | Celso Venicius | Win | DEC | Kasai Super Series Orlando | |
| 2019-06-21 | Ethan Crelinstein | Win | DEC | Third Coast Grappling 2 | |
| 2019-03-15 | Ross Nicholls | Win | DEC | Polaris 9 | |
| 2018-12-09 | Benson Henderson | Win | SUB | Polaris 8 | |
| 2018-08-17 | Masahiro Iwasaki | Win | SUB | KASAI Pro 3 | |
| 2018-08-17 | Matheus Lutes | Draw | DEC | KASAI Pro 3 | |
| 2018-08-17 | Marcin Held | Win | SUB | KASAI Pro 3 | |
| 2018-08-17 | Renato Canuto | Loss | DEC | KASAI Pro 3 | |
| 2017-12-03 | Jesse Taylor | Win | SUB | Submission Underground 6 | |
| 2017-09-18 | Lucas Lepri | Loss | 2017 ADCC World Championships | ||
| 2017-09-18 | De'Alonzio Jackson | Win | 2017 ADCC World Championships | ||
| 2017-09-18 | Garry Tonon | Win | 2017 ADCC World Championships | ||
| 2017-02-17 | Yoislandy Izquierdo | Win | DEC | Fight Time 35 | |
| 2016-08-12 | Rafael Alves | Win | TKO | Fight Time 32 | |
| 2016-04-22 | Gabriel Miranda | Win | TKO | Fight Time 30 | |
| 2015-08-29 | João Gabriel Rocha | Loss | 2015 ADCC Championships | ||
| 2015-08-29 | Romulo Barral | Win | 2015 ADCC Championships | ||
| 2015-08-29 | Otávio Sousa | Loss | 2015 ADCC Championships | ||
| 2014-11-07 | Jake Matthews | Loss | SUB | UFC Fight Night 55 | 22% |
| 2013-08-23 | Randy Barosso | Win | SUB | Fight Time 16 | |
| 2013-04-26 | JP Reese | Win | SUB | Fight Time 14 | |
| 2013-02-15 | Kamrin Naville | Win | DEC | Fight Time 13 | |
| 2012-11-02 | Mike Bruno | Win | SUB | Fight Time 12 | |
| 2012-02-15 | Jonathan Brookins | Loss | KO/TKO | UFC on FUEL TV 1 | 27% |
| 2011-09-17 | Cody McKenzie | Win | SUB | UFC Fight Night 25 | 31% |
| 2011-06-11 | Donald Cerrone | Loss | U-DEC | UFC 131: Carwin vs. Dos Santos | |
| 2011-05-06 | Jacob Clark | Win | SUB | Unknown | |
| 2010-06-26 | Bret Bergmark | Loss | DEC | Strikeforce | |
| 2010-04-08 | Francisco Soares | Win | TKO | Bellator 13 | |
| 2010-03-05 | Patrick Mikesz | Win | SUB | Unknown |