shin2chin the fight ledger

Jake Matthews

23–9–0 · Welterweight · Age 32 · 24 UFC fights

Skill (today) +3.64
Uncertainty (σ) 0.83
As of 2026-09-13

Skill trajectory

Line: estimated skill after each fight. Band: ±1σ uncertainty.

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Fight ledger

DateOpponentResultMethod EventModel P(win), pre-fight
2026-05-30Carlston HarrisWinU-DECUFC Fight Night66%
2025-09-27Neil MagnyLossSUBUFC Fight Night60%
2025-07-12Chidi NjokuaniWinSUBUFC Fight Night52%
2025-02-08Francisco PradoWinU-DECUFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 253%
2024-06-01Phil RoweWinU-DECUFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier66%
2023-11-18Michael MoralesLossU-DECUFC Fight Night33%
2023-07-29Darrius FlowersWinSUBUFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2
2022-12-17Matthew SemelsbergerLossU-DECUFC Fight Night75%
2022-06-11Andre FialhoWinKO/TKOUFC 275: Teixeira vs. Procházka58%
2021-03-06Sean BradyLossSUBUFC 259: Błachowicz vs. Adesanya40%
2020-09-26Diego SanchezWinU-DECUFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa83%
2020-02-22Emil Weber MeekWinU-DECUFC on ESPN+ 2676%
2019-10-05Rostem AkmanWinU-DECUFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya75%
2018-12-01Anthony Rocco MartinLossSUBUFC Fight Night 14260%
2018-06-23Shinsho AnzaiWinSUBUFC Fight Night 13273%
2018-02-10Jingliang LiWinU-DECUFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold51%
2017-11-18Bojan VeličkovićWinS-DECUFC Fight Night 12162%
2016-11-26Andrew HolbrookLossS-DECUFC Fight Night 10172%
2016-07-08Kevin LeeLossKO/TKOThe Ultimate Fighter 23 Finale60%
2016-03-19Johnny CaseWinSUBUFC Fight Night 8551%
2015-11-14Akbarh ArreolaWinKO/TKOUFC 193: Rousey vs. Holm81%
2015-05-09James VickLossSUBUFC Fight Night 6553%
2014-11-07Vagner RochaWinSUBUFC Fight Night 5578%
2014-06-28Dashon JohnsonWinSUBUFC Fight Night 43
2014-04-26Stu DareWinDECKings of Kombat 12
2014-02-26Olivier Aubin-MercierLossDECThe Ultimate Fighter Nations
2013-08-24Dean PurdonWinSUBAustralian FC 6
2013-06-22Tadija MajicWinTKOUnknown
2013-05-10Luke JumeauWinSUBAustralian FC 5
2013-03-16Callan PotterWinSUBUnknown
2012-12-08Jason ZivkovicWinTKOKings of Kombat 8
2012-09-15Sam FiamataiWinTKOUnknown