Rory MacDonald

14–10–1 · Welterweight · Age 37 · 13 UFC fights

Skill (today) +2.06

Uncertainty (σ) 1.22

As of 2026-09-13

Skill trajectory

Line: estimated skill after each fight. Band: ±1σ uncertainty.

Date	Opponent	Result	Method	Event	Model P(win), pre-fight
2022-08-13	Dilano Taylor	Loss	TKO	PFL 8: 2022 Playoffs
2022-07-01	Sadibou Sy	Loss	DEC	PFL 6: 2022 Regular Season
2022-05-06	Brett Cooper	Win	SUB	PFL 3: 2022 Regular Season
2021-08-13	Ray Cooper III	Loss	DEC	PFL 2021 #7
2021-06-17	Gleison Tibau	Loss	DEC	PFL 2021 #5
2021-04-29	Curtis Millender	Win	SUB	PFL 2021 #2
2019-10-26	Douglas Lima	Loss	DEC	Bellator 232
2019-06-14	Neiman Gracie	Win	DEC	Bellator 222
2019-04-27	Jon Fitch	Draw	DEC	Bellator 220
2018-09-29	Gegard Mousasi	Loss	TKO	Bellator 206
2018-01-20	Douglas Lima	Win	DEC	Bellator 192
2017-05-19	Paul Daley	Win	SUB	Bellator 179
2016-06-18	Stephen Thompson	Loss	U-DEC	UFC Fight Night 89	49%
2015-07-11	Robbie Lawler	Loss	KO/TKO	UFC 189: Mendes vs. McGregor	67%
2014-11-22	JT Torres	Draw		Metamoris 5
2014-10-04	Tarec Saffiedine	Win	KO/TKO	UFC Fight Night 54	57%
2014-06-14	Tyron Woodley	Win	U-DEC	UFC 174: Johnson vs. Bagautinov	65%
2014-02-22	Demian Maia	Win	U-DEC	UFC 170: Rousey vs. McMann	76%
2013-11-16	Robbie Lawler	Loss	S-DEC	UFC 167: St. Pierre vs. Hendricks	80%
2013-07-27	Jake Ellenberger	Win	U-DEC	UFC on FOX 8	54%
2012-12-08	BJ Penn	Win	U-DEC	UFC on FOX 5	87%
2012-04-21	Che Mills	Win	KO/TKO	UFC 145: Jones vs. Evans	53%
2011-08-06	Mike Pyle	Win	KO/TKO	UFC 133: Evans vs. Ortiz 2	57%
2011-04-30	Nate Diaz	Win	U-DEC	UFC 129: St. Pierre vs. Shields	31%
2010-06-12	Carlos Condit	Loss	KO/TKO	UFC 115: Liddell vs Franklin
2010-01-11	Mike Guymon	Win	SUB	UFC Fight Night 20