shin2chin the fight ledger

Nate Diaz

10–9–0 · Welterweight · Age 41 · 19 UFC fights

Skill (today) +3.21
Uncertainty (σ) 1.27
As of 2026-09-13

Skill trajectory

Line: estimated skill after each fight. Band: ±1σ uncertainty.

-2-10123420102012201420162021

Fight ledger

DateOpponentResultMethod EventModel P(win), pre-fight
2024-07-06Jorge MasvidalWinDECDiaz vs. Masvidal 2
2023-08-05Jake PaulLossDECPaul vs. Diaz
2022-09-10Tony FergusonWinSUBUFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson36%
2021-06-12Leon EdwardsLossU-DECUFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 222%
2019-11-02Jorge MasvidalLossKO/TKOUFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz41%
2019-08-17Anthony PettisWinU-DECUFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 247%
2016-08-20Conor McGregorLossM-DECUFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 229%
2016-03-05Conor McGregorWinSUBUFC 196: McGregor vs. Diaz16%
2015-12-19Michael JohnsonWinU-DECUFC on FOX 1723%
2014-12-13Rafael dos AnjosLossU-DECUFC on FOX 1329%
2013-11-30Gray MaynardWinKO/TKOThe Ultimate Fighter 18 Finale67%
2013-04-20Josh ThomsonLossKO/TKOUFC on FOX 7
2012-12-08Benson HendersonLossU-DECUFC on FOX 538%
2012-05-05Jim MillerWinSUBUFC on FOX 350%
2011-12-30Donald CerroneWinU-DECUFC 141: Lesnar vs. Overeem27%
2011-09-24Takanori GomiWinSUBUFC 135: Jones vs. Rampage72%
2011-04-30Rory MacDonaldLossU-DECUFC 129: St. Pierre vs. Shields69%
2011-01-01Dong Hyun KimLossU-DECUFC 125: Resolution57%
2010-08-28Marcus DavisWinSUBUFC 118: Edgar vs. Penn 261%
2010-03-27Rory MarkhamWinKO/TKOUFC 111: St-Pierre vs Hardy
2010-01-11Gray MaynardLossS-DECUFC Fight Night 20