shin2chin the fight ledger

Michael Chandler

21–11–0 · Lightweight · Age 40 · 8 UFC fights

Skill (today) +2.80
Uncertainty (σ) 0.94
As of 2026-09-13

Skill trajectory

Line: estimated skill after each fight. Band: ±1σ uncertainty.

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Fight ledger

DateOpponentResultMethod EventModel P(win), pre-fight
2026-06-14Mauricio RuffyLossKO/TKOUFC Freedom 25028%
2025-11-29Chad MendesWinDECRAF 3: Mendes vs. Chandler
2025-04-12Paddy PimblettLossKO/TKOUFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes26%
2024-11-16Charles OliveiraLossU-DECUFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic32%
2022-11-12Dustin PoirierLossSUBUFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira37%
2022-05-07Tony FergusonWinKO/TKOUFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje50%
2021-11-06Justin GaethjeLossU-DECUFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 240%
2021-05-15Charles OliveiraLossKO/TKOUFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler47%
2021-01-23Dan HookerWinKO/TKOUFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor 2
2020-08-07Benson HendersonWinTKOBellator 243
2019-12-28Sidney OutlawWinTKOBellator 237
2019-05-11Patricio PitbullLossTKOBellator 221
2018-12-14Brent PrimusWinDECBellator 212
2018-04-13Brandon GirtzWinSUBBellator 197
2018-01-20Goiti YamauchiWinDECBellator 192
2017-06-24Brent PrimusLossTKOBellator NYC
2016-11-19Benson HendersonWinDECBellator 165
2016-06-24Patricky PitbullWinTKOBellator 157
2015-11-06David RickelsWinTKOBellator 145
2015-06-19Derek CamposWinSUBBellator 138
2014-11-15Will BrooksLossTKOBellator 131
2014-05-17Will BrooksLossDECBellator 120
2013-11-02Eddie AlvarezLossDECBellator 106
2013-07-31David RickelsWinTKOBellator 97
2013-01-17Rick HawnWinSUBBellator 85
2012-05-04Akihiro GonoWinTKOBellator 67
2011-11-19Eddie AlvarezWinSUBBellator 58
2011-05-14Patricky PitbullWinDECBellator 44
2011-04-09Lloyd MixWinDECBellator 40
2011-03-12Marcin HeldWinSUBBellator 36
2010-10-14Chris PageWinSUBBellator 32
2010-09-30Scott StappWinTKOBellator 31
2010-05-15Sal WoodsWinSUBStrikeforce