shin2chin the fight ledger

José Aldo

16–9–0 · Featherweight · Age 40 · 23 UFC fights

Skill (today) +3.35
Uncertainty (σ) 0.93
As of 2026-09-13

Skill trajectory

Line: estimated skill after each fight. Band: ±1σ uncertainty.

-101234520102013201620192022

Fight ledger

DateOpponentResultMethod EventModel P(win), pre-fight
2025-05-10Aiemann ZahabiLossU-DECUFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena48%
2024-10-05Mario BautistaLossS-DECUFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree40%
2024-05-04Jonathan MartinezWinU-DECUFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg26%
2023-07-02Esteban EspíndolaWinDECShooto Brasil Boxing 2
2023-04-01Jeremy StephensDrawDECGamebred Boxing 4
2023-02-10Emmanuel ZambranoWinDECShooto Brasil Boxing
2022-08-20Merab DvalishviliLossU-DECUFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards 229%
2021-12-04Rob FontWinU-DECUFC Fight Night30%
2021-08-07Pedro MunhozWinU-DECUFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane38%
2020-12-19Marlon VeraWinU-DECUFC Fight Night38%
2020-07-11Petr YanLossKO/TKOUFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal17%
2019-12-14Marlon MoraesLossS-DECUFC 245: Usman vs. Covington35%
2019-05-11Alexander VolkanovskiLossU-DECUFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade27%
2019-02-02Renato MoicanoWinKO/TKOUFC on ESPN+ 226%
2018-07-28Jeremy StephensWinKO/TKOUFC on FOX 3045%
2017-12-02Max HollowayLossKO/TKOUFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 223%
2017-06-03Max HollowayLossKO/TKOUFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway35%
2016-07-09Frankie EdgarWinU-DECUFC 200: Tate vs. Nunes55%
2015-12-12Conor McGregorLossKO/TKOUFC 194: Aldo vs. McGregor42%
2014-10-25Chad MendesWinU-DECUFC 179: Aldo vs. Mendes 255%
2014-02-01Ricardo LamasWinU-DECUFC 169: Barao vs. Faber 260%
2013-08-03Chan Sung JungWinKO/TKOUFC 163: Aldo vs. Korean Zombie70%
2013-02-02Frankie EdgarWinU-DECUFC 156: Aldo vs. Edgar75%
2012-01-14Chad MendesWinKO/TKOUFC 142: Aldo vs. Mendes47%
2011-10-08Kenny FlorianWinU-DECUFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 378%
2011-04-30Mark HominickWinU-DECUFC 129: St. Pierre vs. Shields
2010-09-30Manny GamburyanWinTKOWEC 51: Aldo vs. Gamburyan
2010-04-24Urijah FaberWinDECWEC 48: Aldo vs Faber