Mario Bautista
18–3–0 · Bantamweight · Age 33 · 15 UFC fights
Skill (today)
+5.50
Uncertainty (σ)
0.76
As of
2026-09-13
Skill trajectory
Line: estimated skill after each fight. Band: ±1σ uncertainty.
Fight ledger
| Date | Opponent | Result | Method | Event | Model P(win), pre-fight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Cory Sandhagen | Win | U-DEC | UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 | 48% |
| 2026-02-07 | Vinicius Oliveira | Win | SUB | UFC Fight Night | 47% |
| 2025-10-25 | Umar Nurmagomedov | Loss | U-DEC | UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane | 32% |
| 2025-06-07 | Patchy Mix | Win | U-DEC | UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 | |
| 2024-10-05 | José Aldo | Win | S-DEC | UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree | 60% |
| 2024-01-13 | Ricky Simón | Win | U-DEC | UFC Fight Night | 51% |
| 2023-08-19 | Da'Mon Blackshear | Win | U-DEC | UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley | 61% |
| 2023-03-11 | Guido Cannetti | Win | SUB | UFC Fight Night | 85% |
| 2022-11-05 | Benito Lopez | Win | SUB | UFC Fight Night | 55% |
| 2022-06-25 | Brian Kelleher | Win | SUB | UFC Fight Night | 73% |
| 2022-02-19 | Jay Perrin | Win | U-DEC | UFC Fight Night | |
| 2021-03-06 | Trevin Jones | Loss | KO/TKO | UFC 259: Błachowicz vs. Adesanya | |
| 2020-02-08 | Miles Johns | Win | KO/TKO | UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes | 28% |
| 2019-07-20 | Jin Soo Son | Win | U-DEC | UFC on ESPN 4 | 59% |
| 2019-01-19 | Cory Sandhagen | Loss | SUB | UFC on ESPN+ 1 | |
| 2018-10-13 | Juan Pablo González | Win | DEC | Combate 26: Mexico vs. USA | |
| 2018-06-29 | A.J. Robb | Win | SUB | LFA 44: Frincu vs. Aguilera | |
| 2018-01-19 | Raphael Montini | Win | TKO | LFA 31: Moffett vs. Le | |
| 2017-09-28 | DeMarcus Brown | Win | SUB | SMASH Global 6 | |
| 2017-08-03 | Devon Chavez | Win | SUB | Tachi PF 32 | |
| 2017-05-20 | Jesse Orta | Win | TKO | Iron Boy MMA 6 |