Alex Oliveira
24–16–1 · Welterweight · Age 38 · 21 UFC fights
Skill (today)
+1.24
Uncertainty (σ)
1.01
As of
2026-09-13
Skill trajectory
Line: estimated skill after each fight. Band: ±1σ uncertainty.
Fight ledger
| Date | Opponent | Result | Method | Event | Model P(win), pre-fight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-20 | Miloš Janičić | Loss | TKO | FNC 26: Janičić vs. Oliveira | |
| 2025-09-06 | Mauricio Ariel Pare | Win | SUB | Futhar MMA 5 | |
| 2025-07-19 | Ilyas Khamzin | Loss | TKO | Karate Combat 56 | |
| 2024-05-25 | Aleksandr Grozin | Loss | TKO | Nashe Delo 83 | |
| 2023-07-21 | Alexander Shlemenko | Loss | SUB | SFC 8 | |
| 2023-06-02 | Stefan Sekulić | Win | TKO | Titan FC 82 | |
| 2023-04-01 | Kiefer Crosbie | Loss | TKO | Rise FC: BY DIEGO FAISCA | |
| 2022-12-28 | Aslambek Arsamikov | Win | TKO | Serbian Battle Championship 45 | |
| 2022-08-13 | Helison Cruz | Win | TKO | SFFN 9 | |
| 2022-06-10 | Michel Silva | Loss | SUB | BF Mr. Cage Fight Music Show | |
| 2022-04-30 | Demian Maia | Loss | SUB | BJJ Stars 8 | |
| 2022-03-05 | Kevin Holland | Loss | KO/TKO | UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal | 26% |
| 2021-10-02 | Niko Price | Loss | U-DEC | UFC Fight Night | 55% |
| 2021-04-24 | Randy Brown | Loss | SUB | UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 | 46% |
| 2020-10-24 | Shavkat Rakhmonov | Loss | SUB | UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje | |
| 2020-07-25 | Peter Sobotta | Win | U-DEC | UFC Fight Night | 62% |
| 2020-03-07 | Max Griffin | Win | S-DEC | UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero | 66% |
| 2019-09-28 | Nicolas Dalby | Loss | U-DEC | UFC on ESPN+ 18 | 64% |
| 2019-04-27 | Mike Perry | Loss | U-DEC | UFC on ESPN+ 8 | 61% |
| 2018-12-08 | Gunnar Nelson | Loss | SUB | UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega | 67% |
| 2018-09-22 | Carlo Pedersoli | Win | KO/TKO | UFC Fight Night 137 | 54% |
| 2018-04-14 | Carlos Condit | Win | SUB | UFC on FOX 29 | 70% |
| 2017-12-02 | Yancy Medeiros | Loss | KO/TKO | UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2 | 76% |
| 2017-07-22 | Ryan LaFlare | Win | KO/TKO | UFC on FOX 25 | 60% |
| 2017-03-11 | Tim Means | Win | SUB | UFC Fight Night 106 | 61% |
| 2016-10-01 | Will Brooks | Win | KO/TKO | UFC Fight Night 96 | 35% |
| 2016-07-23 | James Moontasri | Win | U-DEC | UFC on FOX 20 | 58% |
| 2016-02-21 | Donald Cerrone | Loss | SUB | UFC Fight Night 83 | 47% |
| 2015-11-07 | Piotr Hallmann | Win | KO/TKO | UFC Fight Night 77 | 51% |
| 2015-06-27 | Joey Merritt | Win | U-DEC | UFC Fight Night 70 | |
| 2015-05-30 | KJ Noons | Win | SUB | UFC Fight Night 67 | 78% |
| 2015-03-21 | Gilbert Burns | Loss | SUB | UFC Fight Night 62 | |
| 2015-02-21 | Joilton Lutterbach | Win | DEC | Face to Face 10 | |
| 2014-10-18 | Douglas Aparecido | Win | TKO | WOCS 38 | |
| 2014-07-18 | Ederson Moreira | Win | SUB | WOCS 36 | |
| 2014-02-06 | Fabio Lima | Win | TKO | Bitetti Combat 19 | |
| 2013-12-13 | Welton Doidão | Win | SUB | WOCS 32 | |
| 2013-08-02 | Thiago Macedo | Win | TKO | WOCS 27 | |
| 2013-06-23 | Kenedy Gualande | Draw | Unknown | ||
| 2013-05-11 | Jone Garcia | Win | TKO | Bitetti Combat 15 | |
| 2013-04-12 | Wendell Oliveira | Loss | DEC | WOCS 25 | |
| 2012-06-30 | Leandro Beinrothi | Win | TKO | Unknown | |
| 2011-12-10 | Rodrigo Pitbull | Win | TKO | Unknown |