Gunnar Nelson
14–6–0 · Welterweight · Age 38 · 16 UFC fights
Skill (today)
+2.46
Uncertainty (σ)
1.13
As of
2026-09-13
Skill trajectory
Line: estimated skill after each fight. Band: ±1σ uncertainty.
Fight ledger
| Date | Opponent | Result | Method | Event | Model P(win), pre-fight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-22 | Kevin Holland | Loss | U-DEC | UFC Fight Night | 40% |
| 2023-03-18 | Bryan Barberena | Win | SUB | UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 | 48% |
| 2022-03-19 | Takashi Sato | Win | U-DEC | UFC Fight Night | 52% |
| 2019-09-28 | Gilbert Burns | Loss | U-DEC | UFC on ESPN+ 18 | 36% |
| 2019-03-16 | Leon Edwards | Loss | S-DEC | UFC on ESPN+ 5 | 33% |
| 2018-12-08 | Alex Oliveira | Win | SUB | UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega | 33% |
| 2017-07-16 | Santiago Ponzinibbio | Loss | KO/TKO | UFC Fight Night 113 | 42% |
| 2017-03-18 | Alan Jouban | Win | SUB | UFC Fight Night 107 | 44% |
| 2016-05-08 | Albert Tumenov | Win | SUB | UFC Fight Night 87 | 28% |
| 2015-12-12 | Demian Maia | Loss | U-DEC | UFC 194: Aldo vs. McGregor | 61% |
| 2015-07-11 | Brandon Thatch | Win | SUB | UFC 189: Mendes vs. McGregor | 47% |
| 2014-10-04 | Rick Story | Loss | S-DEC | UFC Fight Night 53 | 66% |
| 2014-07-19 | Zak Cummings | Win | SUB | UFC Fight Night 46 | 70% |
| 2014-03-08 | Omari Akhmedov | Win | SUB | UFC Fight Night 37 | 43% |
| 2013-02-16 | Jorge Santiago | Win | U-DEC | UFC on FUEL TV 7 | 78% |
| 2012-09-29 | DaMarques Johnson | Win | SUB | UFC on FUEL TV 5 | |
| 2012-02-25 | Alexander Butenko | Win | SUB | Cage Contender 12 | |
| 2011-09-24 | Alexandre Ribeiro | Loss | DEC | 2011 ADCC Championships | |
| 2011-09-24 | Bruno Frazatto | Win | DEC | 2011 ADCC Championships | |
| 2011-09-24 | Andre Galvao | Loss | DEC | 2011 ADCC Championships | |
| 2010-09-25 | Eugene Fadiora | Win | SUB | Unknown | |
| 2010-08-28 | Danny Mitchell | Win | SUB | Unknown | |
| 2010-02-13 | Sam Elsdon | Win | SUB | Unknown |