Sam Alvey
27–18–1 · Middleweight · Age 40 · 24 UFC fights
Skill (today)
+0.45
Uncertainty (σ)
1.20
As of
2026-09-13
Skill trajectory
Line: estimated skill after each fight. Band: ±1σ uncertainty.
Fight ledger
| Date | Opponent | Result | Method | Event | Model P(win), pre-fight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-05 | Robelis Despaigne | Loss | TKO | Karate Combat 58 | |
| 2025-05-02 | Tyrone Spong | Win | TKO | Karate Combat 54 | |
| 2024-07-25 | Antônio Arroyo | Win | TKO | Karate Combat 48 | |
| 2023-12-15 | Ross Levine | Win | DEC | Karate Combat 43 | |
| 2023-09-16 | Adam Rosa | Win | TKO | Karate Combat 41 | |
| 2023-05-27 | Cameron Graham | Win | TKO | B2 Fighting Series 183 | |
| 2022-08-06 | Michał Oleksiejczuk | Loss | KO/TKO | UFC Fight Night | 20% |
| 2022-02-05 | Brendan Allen | Loss | SUB | UFC Fight Night | 16% |
| 2021-08-28 | Wellington Turman | Loss | S-DEC | UFC Fight Night | 35% |
| 2021-04-10 | Julian Marquez | Loss | SUB | UFC on ABC 2 | 40% |
| 2020-10-24 | Da Woon Jung | Draw | S-DEC | UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje | |
| 2020-05-09 | Ryan Spann | Loss | S-DEC | UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje | 30% |
| 2019-07-20 | Klidson Abreu | Loss | U-DEC | UFC on ESPN 4 | 32% |
| 2019-02-09 | Jimmy Crute | Loss | KO/TKO | UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva | 29% |
| 2018-09-22 | Antônio Rogério Nogueira | Loss | KO/TKO | UFC Fight Night 137 | 80% |
| 2018-06-01 | Gian Villante | Win | S-DEC | UFC Fight Night 131 | 67% |
| 2018-02-24 | Marcin Prachnio | Win | KO/TKO | UFC on FOX 28 | |
| 2017-10-21 | Ramazan Emeev | Loss | U-DEC | UFC Fight Night 118 | |
| 2017-08-05 | Rashad Evans | Win | S-DEC | UFC Fight Night 114 | 76% |
| 2017-04-22 | Thales Leites | Loss | U-DEC | UFC Fight Night 108 | 64% |
| 2017-01-28 | Nate Marquardt | Win | U-DEC | UFC on FOX 23 | 74% |
| 2016-11-05 | Alex Nicholson | Win | U-DEC | UFC Fight Night 98 | 53% |
| 2016-08-27 | Kevin Casey | Win | KO/TKO | UFC on FOX 21 | 67% |
| 2016-07-13 | Eric Spicely | Win | SUB | UFC Fight Night 91 | |
| 2016-06-18 | Elias Theodorou | Loss | U-DEC | UFC Fight Night 89 | 29% |
| 2015-08-08 | Derek Brunson | Loss | KO/TKO | UFC Fight Night 73 | 55% |
| 2015-05-09 | Daniel Kelly | Win | KO/TKO | UFC Fight Night 65 | 58% |
| 2015-02-22 | Cezar Ferreira | Win | KO/TKO | UFC Fight Night 61 | 42% |
| 2014-11-07 | Dylan Andrews | Win | KO/TKO | UFC Fight Night 55 | 55% |
| 2014-08-16 | Tom Watson | Loss | U-DEC | UFC Fight Night 47 | |
| 2014-05-31 | Gerald Meerschaert | Win | DEC | NAFC: "Mega Brawl" MMA | |
| 2014-05-09 | Wes Swofford | Win | TKO | MFC 40: Crowned Kings | |
| 2013-10-04 | Jason South | Win | TKO | MFC 38: Behind Enemy Lines | |
| 2013-05-10 | Jay Silva | Win | TKO | MFC 37: True Grit | |
| 2013-02-15 | Elvis Mutapčić | Loss | DEC | MFC 36: Reality Check | |
| 2012-08-09 | Joey Rivera | Loss | DEC | The Ultimate Fighter Season 16 | |
| 2012-07-31 | Leo Kuntz | Win | TKO | The Ultimate Fighter Season 16 | |
| 2012-06-16 | Lucas Lopes | Win | TKO | ShoFight 20 | |
| 2012-04-20 | Daniel Almeida | Win | TKO | Wreck MMA 9 | |
| 2012-03-03 | Brandon Ropati | Loss | DEC | Unknown | |
| 2012-01-07 | Eddie Larrea | Win | TKO | Madtown Throwdown 26 | |
| 2011-11-05 | Augusto Montaño | Win | DEC | Unknown | |
| 2011-09-17 | Vitor Vianna | Loss | DEC | Bellator 50 | |
| 2011-05-21 | Karl Amoussou | Win | DEC | Bellator 45 | |
| 2010-11-24 | Jason Guida | Win | DEC | Unknown | |
| 2010-10-22 | Luke Taylor | Win | DEC | Unknown | |
| 2010-10-08 | Bill Hill | Win | TKO | KOTC: High Profile | |
| 2010-09-10 | Gerald Meerschaert | Loss | SUB | Combat USA | |
| 2010-06-18 | Pat O'Malley | Win | TKO | Combat USA 31 | |
| 2010-02-21 | Brad Resop | Win | SUB | Combat USA 27 | |
| 2010-01-08 | Eric Hammerich | Win | TKO | Unknown |