Drew Dober
28–14–0 · Lightweight · Age 37 · 26 UFC fights
Skill (today)
+3.06
Uncertainty (σ)
0.84
As of
2026-09-13
Skill trajectory
Line: estimated skill after each fight. Band: ±1σ uncertainty.
Fight ledger
| Date | Opponent | Result | Method | Event | Model P(win), pre-fight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | Michael Johnson | Win | KO/TKO | UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 | 49% |
| 2025-10-18 | Kyle Prepolec | Win | KO/TKO | UFC Fight Night | 68% |
| 2025-03-29 | Manuel Torres | Loss | KO/TKO | UFC Fight Night | 39% |
| 2024-07-13 | Jean Silva | Loss | KO/TKO | UFC Fight Night | 36% |
| 2024-02-03 | Renato Moicano | Loss | U-DEC | UFC Fight Night | 51% |
| 2023-10-07 | Ricky Glenn | Win | KO/TKO | UFC Fight Night | 64% |
| 2023-05-06 | Matt Frevola | Loss | KO/TKO | UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo | 58% |
| 2022-12-17 | King Green | Win | KO/TKO | UFC Fight Night | 43% |
| 2022-07-30 | Rafael Alves | Win | KO/TKO | UFC 277: Peña vs. Nunes 2 | 56% |
| 2022-03-12 | Terrance McKinney | Win | KO/TKO | UFC Fight Night | 50% |
| 2021-06-12 | Brad Riddell | Loss | U-DEC | UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 | 45% |
| 2021-03-06 | Islam Makhachev | Loss | SUB | UFC 259: Błachowicz vs. Adesanya | 31% |
| 2020-05-13 | Alexander Hernandez | Win | KO/TKO | UFC Fight Night | 44% |
| 2020-01-18 | Nasrat Haqparast | Win | KO/TKO | UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cerrone | 31% |
| 2019-06-29 | Polo Reyes | Win | KO/TKO | UFC on ESPN 3 | 68% |
| 2019-03-09 | Beneil Dariush | Loss | SUB | UFC on ESPN+ 4 | 33% |
| 2018-08-25 | Jon Tuck | Win | U-DEC | UFC Fight Night 135 | 76% |
| 2018-01-27 | Frank Camacho | Win | U-DEC | UFC on FOX 27 | 57% |
| 2017-07-29 | Josh Burkman | Win | KO/TKO | UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2 | 76% |
| 2016-12-10 | Olivier Aubin-Mercier | Loss | SUB | UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis | 41% |
| 2016-09-10 | Jason Gonzalez | Win | KO/TKO | UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem | |
| 2016-01-02 | Scott Holtzman | Win | U-DEC | UFC 195: Lawler vs. Condit | 34% |
| 2015-06-13 | Efrain Escudero | Loss | SUB | UFC 188: Velasquez vs. Werdum | 60% |
| 2014-12-13 | Jamie Varner | Win | SUB | UFC on FOX 13 | 67% |
| 2014-05-31 | Nick Hein | Loss | U-DEC | UFC Fight Night 41 | |
| 2013-11-30 | Sean Spencer | Loss | U-DEC | The Ultimate Fighter 18 Finale | |
| 2013-10-18 | Tony Sims | Win | DEC | Prize FC 4: Thrillers | |
| 2013-07-27 | T.J. O'Brien | Win | SUB | VFC 40: Alexander vs. Grigsby | |
| 2013-03-01 | Aaron Derrow | Win | DEC | Unknown | |
| 2013-01-26 | Sean Wilson | Win | SUB | Disorderly Conduct 15 | |
| 2012-12-15 | Robert Rojas | Win | SUB | VFC 38 | |
| 2012-08-10 | Will Brooks | Loss | DEC | Disorderly Conduct | |
| 2012-04-13 | Ted Worthington | Win | SUB | Unknown | |
| 2012-03-09 | Daron Cruickshank | Loss | DEC | The Ultimate Fighter Season 15 | |
| 2011-11-04 | Jordan Johnson | Win | SUB | Unknown | |
| 2011-07-30 | Sam Jackson | Win | DEC | Unknown | |
| 2011-03-31 | Ramiro Hernandez | Loss | TKO | Unknown | |
| 2011-01-28 | Bobby Cooper | Win | DEC | Titan FC 16 | |
| 2010-12-10 | Kody Frank | Win | TKO | Unknown | |
| 2010-11-12 | Steve Simmons | Win | SUB | Unknown | |
| 2010-07-30 | Jimmy Seipel | Win | SUB | Unknown | |
| 2010-04-29 | Nick Nolte | Win | SUB | Bellator 16 |