Clay Guida
13–14–0 · Lightweight · Age 44 · 27 UFC fights
Skill (today)
+0.83
Uncertainty (σ)
1.03
As of
2026-09-13
Skill trajectory
Line: estimated skill after each fight. Band: ±1σ uncertainty.
Fight ledger
| Date | Opponent | Result | Method | Event | Model P(win), pre-fight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-29 | Cayden Henschel | Loss | RAF 3: Mendes vs. Chandler | ||
| 2024-12-07 | Chase Hooper | Loss | SUB | UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura | 16% |
| 2023-12-02 | Joaquim Silva | Loss | U-DEC | UFC Fight Night | 35% |
| 2023-04-15 | Rafa García | Loss | U-DEC | UFC Fight Night | 26% |
| 2022-12-30 | Chase Hooper | Loss | SUB | Fury Pro Grappling 6 | |
| 2022-12-03 | Scott Holtzman | Win | S-DEC | UFC Fight Night | 32% |
| 2022-08-27 | Alex Caceres | Draw | DEC | Fury Pro Grappling 5 | |
| 2022-05-28 | Brad Boulton | Win | SUB | Fury Pro Grappling 4 | |
| 2022-04-23 | Claudio Puelles | Loss | SUB | UFC Fight Night | 18% |
| 2021-12-30 | Billy Quarantillo | Win | DEC | Fury Pro Grappling 3 | |
| 2021-12-04 | Leonardo Santos | Win | SUB | UFC Fight Night | 19% |
| 2021-08-21 | Mark Madsen | Loss | S-DEC | UFC Fight Night | 24% |
| 2021-02-06 | Michael Johnson | Win | U-DEC | UFC Fight Night | 24% |
| 2020-06-20 | King Green | Loss | U-DEC | UFC Fight Night | 26% |
| 2019-12-12 | Gregor Gracie | Loss | SUB | Quintet Ultra | |
| 2019-12-12 | Renato Sobral | Draw | Quintet Ultra | ||
| 2019-08-03 | Jim Miller | Loss | SUB | UFC on ESPN 5 | 51% |
| 2019-05-11 | BJ Penn | Win | U-DEC | UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade | 89% |
| 2018-06-09 | Charles Oliveira | Loss | SUB | UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 | 44% |
| 2017-11-11 | Joe Lauzon | Win | KO/TKO | UFC Fight Night 120 | 69% |
| 2017-06-25 | Erik Koch | Win | U-DEC | UFC Fight Night 112 | 43% |
| 2016-06-04 | Brian Ortega | Loss | KO/TKO | UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 | 21% |
| 2015-11-07 | Thiago Tavares | Loss | SUB | UFC Fight Night 77 | 45% |
| 2015-04-04 | Robbie Peralta | Win | U-DEC | UFC Fight Night 63 | 30% |
| 2014-07-26 | Dennis Bermudez | Loss | SUB | UFC on FOX 12 | 23% |
| 2014-04-11 | Tatsuya Kawajiri | Win | U-DEC | UFC Fight Night 39 | 37% |
| 2013-08-31 | Chad Mendes | Loss | KO/TKO | UFC 164: Henderson vs. Pettis 2 | 20% |
| 2013-01-26 | Hatsu Hioki | Win | S-DEC | UFC on FOX 6 | 31% |
| 2012-06-22 | Gray Maynard | Loss | S-DEC | UFC on FX 4 | 71% |
| 2011-11-12 | Benson Henderson | Loss | U-DEC | UFC on FOX 1 | 42% |
| 2011-06-04 | Anthony Pettis | Win | U-DEC | The Ultimate Fighter 13 Finale | |
| 2011-01-01 | Takanori Gomi | Win | SUB | UFC 125: Resolution | 78% |
| 2010-08-07 | Rafael dos Anjos | Win | SUB | UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen | 38% |
| 2010-03-21 | Shannon Gugerty | Win | SUB | UFC on Versus 1 |