shin2chin the fight ledger

Joel Alvarez

22–5–0 · Welterweight · Age 33 · 12 UFC fights

Skill (today) +3.91
Uncertainty (σ) 0.87
As of 2026-09-13

Skill trajectory

Line: estimated skill after each fight. Band: ±1σ uncertainty.

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Fight ledger

DateOpponentResultMethod EventModel P(win), pre-fight
2026-08-15Chidi NjokuaniLossU-DECUFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry74%
2026-05-09Yaroslav AmosovLossSUBUFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland50%
2025-10-11Vicente LuqueWinU-DECUFC Fight Night72%
2024-12-14Drakkar KloseWinKO/TKOUFC Fight Night57%
2024-08-03Elves BrenerWinKO/TKOUFC Fight Night56%
2023-07-22Marc DiakieseWinSUBUFC Fight Night68%
2022-02-26Arman TsarukyanLossKO/TKOUFC Fight Night35%
2021-11-13Thiago MoisésWinKO/TKOUFC Fight Night55%
2020-10-24Alexander YakovlevWinSUBUFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje79%
2020-07-18Joe DuffyWinSUBUFC Fight Night75%
2019-06-01Danilo BelluardoWinKO/TKOUFC on ESPN+ 11
2019-02-23Damir IsmagulovLossU-DECUFC on ESPN+ 3
2018-11-24Maxim RaduWinSUBAFL 17: Coal and Blood
2018-09-29Julio Cesar AlvesWinSUBAFL 16: Feudal War
2018-05-05Alexandre RibeiroWinSUBAFL 15: Typhoon
2018-03-17Kevin Daniel DelgadoWinSUBAFL 14: Outbreak
2017-10-14Francisco GonzalezWinSUBAFL 13
2017-06-03Jekson PolezaWinSUBAFL 12: Warcelona
2017-03-18Anthony MullerWinTKOFight Night Series 2
2016-10-08Moncef Ed DoukaniWinSUBUnknown
2016-07-08Jose Luis BravoWinSUBUnknown
2015-04-10Ali AbdulkhalikovLossTKOM-1 Challenge 56
2015-03-21Graham TurnerWinSUBRage in the Cage 3
2015-03-07Jose Luis BravoWinSUBUnknown
2015-01-26Helson HenriquesWinSUBUnknown
2014-04-12Hicham RachidWinSUBUnknown
2013-12-28Aratz GarmendiaWinSUBUnknown