Chris Duncan
15–3–0 · Lightweight · Age 33 · 8 UFC fights
Skill (today)
+3.70
Uncertainty (σ)
0.83
As of
2026-09-13
Skill trajectory
Line: estimated skill after each fight. Band: ±1σ uncertainty.
Fight ledger
| Date | Opponent | Result | Method | Event | Model P(win), pre-fight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | Renato Moicano | Loss | SUB | UFC Fight Night | 54% |
| 2025-12-06 | Terrance McKinney | Win | SUB | UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 | 60% |
| 2025-08-02 | Mateusz Rębecki | Win | U-DEC | UFC Fight Night | 34% |
| 2025-03-22 | Jordan Vucenic | Win | SUB | UFC Fight Night | 49% |
| 2024-09-28 | Bolaji Oki | Win | SUB | UFC Fight Night | 40% |
| 2024-02-24 | Manuel Torres | Loss | SUB | UFC Fight Night | 50% |
| 2023-07-22 | Yanal Ashmouz | Win | U-DEC | UFC Fight Night | 35% |
| 2023-03-18 | Omar Morales | Win | S-DEC | UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 | |
| 2022-08-02 | Charlie Campbell | Win | TKO | Contender Series 2022 | |
| 2022-02-05 | Jonathan Carlos | Win | DEC | UFL 8 | |
| 2021-10-12 | Viacheslav Borshchev | Loss | TKO | Contender Series 2021 | |
| 2020-10-01 | Iamik Furtado | Win | TKO | Bellator 247 | |
| 2020-02-22 | Mateusz Piskorz | Win | TKO | Bellator 240 | |
| 2019-08-04 | Leandro Souza | Win | TKO | Ultimate Fight League 3 | |
| 2019-02-23 | Sam Slater | Win | TKO | Bellator 217 | |
| 2018-11-17 | Niall Smith | Win | TKO | On Top 21 | |
| 2018-06-02 | Steven Moore | Win | TKO | On Top: Showdown | |
| 2018-04-07 | Pietro Colonna | Win | SUB | Unity Fighting Championship |