Daniel Rodriguez

20–6–0 · Welterweight · Age 39 · 15 UFC fights

Skill (today) +4.04

Uncertainty (σ) 0.86

As of 2026-09-13

Skill trajectory

Line: estimated skill after each fight. Band: ±1σ uncertainty.

Date	Opponent	Result	Method	Event	Model P(win), pre-fight
2026-08-01	Uros Medic	Loss	KO/TKO	UFC Fight Night	54%
2025-07-19	Kevin Holland	Win	U-DEC	UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3	44%
2025-05-03	Santiago Ponzinibbio	Win	KO/TKO	UFC Fight Night	62%
2024-10-12	Alex Morono	Win	S-DEC	UFC Fight Night	65%
2024-06-22	Kelvin Gastelum	Loss	U-DEC	UFC Fight Night	54%
2023-05-13	Ian Machado Garry	Loss	KO/TKO	UFC on ABC 4	39%
2022-11-05	Neil Magny	Loss	SUB	UFC Fight Night	60%
2022-09-10	Jingliang Li	Win	S-DEC	UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson	60%
2021-08-28	Kevin Lee	Win	U-DEC	UFC Fight Night	50%
2021-07-17	Preston Parsons	Win	KO/TKO	UFC Fight Night
2021-04-10	Mike Perry	Win	U-DEC	UFC on ABC 2	58%
2020-11-21	Nicolas Dalby	Loss	U-DEC	UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez	60%
2020-08-22	Dwight Grant	Win	KO/TKO	UFC Fight Night	57%
2020-05-30	Gabe Green	Win	U-DEC	UFC Fight Night
2020-02-15	Tim Means	Win	SUB	UFC on ESPN+ 25
2019-12-19	Quinton McCottrell	Win	TKO	SMASH Global 9
2019-07-30	Rico Farrington	Win	DEC	Contender Series 2019
2019-02-22	Ivan Castillo	Win	TKO	Combate 31: Mexico vs. USA
2018-09-28	Ozzie Alvarez	Win	TKO	Combate 25: Camino a Copa Combate
2018-05-18	Alex Velazco	Win	SUB	Combate 23: México vs. El Mundo
2018-02-17	Justin Baesman	Win	TKO	CXF 11: Alpha Dog
2017-12-01	Victor Reyna	Loss	DEC	Combate 19: Queen Warriors
2017-04-20	Joel Champion	Win	TKO	Combate 13
2017-01-21	Christian Gonzalez	Win	TKO	Bellator 170
2016-08-11	Hector Saldaña	Win	SUB	Combate 8
2015-06-14	Chris Gates	Win	SUB	KOTC: Sanctioned