Kelvin Gastelum
23–11–0 · Middleweight · Age 34 · 25 UFC fights
Skill (today)
+2.64
Uncertainty (σ)
0.88
As of
2026-09-13
Skill trajectory
Line: estimated skill after each fight. Band: ±1σ uncertainty.
Fight ledger
| Date | Opponent | Result | Method | Event | Model P(win), pre-fight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Vicente Luque | Loss | SUB | UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg | 54% |
| 2025-09-13 | Dustin Stoltzfus | Win | U-DEC | UFC Fight Night | 60% |
| 2025-06-07 | Joe Pyfer | Loss | U-DEC | UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 | 49% |
| 2024-06-22 | Daniel Rodriguez | Win | U-DEC | UFC Fight Night | 46% |
| 2023-12-02 | Sean Brady | Loss | SUB | UFC Fight Night | 39% |
| 2023-04-08 | Chris Curtis | Win | U-DEC | UFC 287: Pereira vs Adesanya 2 | 51% |
| 2021-08-21 | Jared Cannonier | Loss | U-DEC | UFC Fight Night | 58% |
| 2021-04-17 | Robert Whittaker | Loss | U-DEC | UFC Fight Night | 31% |
| 2021-02-13 | Ian Heinisch | Win | U-DEC | UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns | 52% |
| 2020-07-18 | Jack Hermansson | Loss | SUB | UFC Fight Night | 45% |
| 2019-11-02 | Darren Till | Loss | S-DEC | UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz | 54% |
| 2019-04-13 | Israel Adesanya | Loss | U-DEC | UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2 | 35% |
| 2018-05-12 | Ronaldo Souza | Win | S-DEC | UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington | 67% |
| 2017-11-25 | Michael Bisping | Win | KO/TKO | UFC Fight Night 122 | 70% |
| 2017-07-22 | Chris Weidman | Loss | SUB | UFC on FOX 25 | 78% |
| 2016-12-10 | Tim Kennedy | Win | KO/TKO | UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis | 79% |
| 2016-07-09 | Johny Hendricks | Win | U-DEC | UFC 200: Tate vs. Nunes | 75% |
| 2015-11-21 | Neil Magny | Loss | S-DEC | UFC Fight Night 78 | 57% |
| 2015-06-13 | Nate Marquardt | Win | KO/TKO | UFC 188: Velasquez vs. Werdum | 86% |
| 2015-01-31 | Tyron Woodley | Loss | S-DEC | UFC 183: Silva vs. Diaz | 81% |
| 2014-11-15 | Jake Ellenberger | Win | SUB | UFC 180: Werdum vs. Hunt | 84% |
| 2014-06-28 | Nico Musoke | Win | U-DEC | UFC Fight Night 44 | 75% |
| 2014-03-15 | Rick Story | Win | S-DEC | UFC 171: Hendricks vs. Lawler | 74% |
| 2013-08-28 | Brian Melancon | Win | SUB | UFC Fight Night 27 | 79% |
| 2013-04-13 | Uriah Hall | Win | S-DEC | The Ultimate Fighter 17 Finale | |
| 2012-12-11 | Josh Samman | Win | SUB | The Ultimate Fighter Season 17 | |
| 2012-12-04 | Collin Hart | Win | TKO | The Ultimate Fighter Season 17 | |
| 2012-11-15 | Bubba McDaniel | Win | SUB | The Ultimate Fighter Season 17 | |
| 2012-10-30 | Kito Andrews | Win | DEC | The Ultimate Fighter Season 17 | |
| 2012-07-20 | Mike Ashford | Win | TKO | Unknown | |
| 2012-07-07 | Bill Smallwood | Win | SUB | Unknown | |
| 2011-10-22 | Mike Gentile | Win | TKO | Unknown | |
| 2011-07-16 | Yair Moguel | Win | SUB | Unknown | |
| 2010-12-11 | Jose Sanchez | Win | SUB | Unknown |