Julio Arce

21–6–0 · Featherweight · Age 36 · 10 UFC fights

Skill (today) +3.54

Uncertainty (σ) 1.01

As of 2026-09-13

Skill trajectory

Line: estimated skill after each fight. Band: ±1σ uncertainty.

Date	Opponent	Result	Method	Event	Model P(win), pre-fight
2025-10-24	Wilson Reis	Win	TKO	Victory Fighting League
2025-08-15	Sheymon Moraes	Win	DEC	Victory Fighting League
2024-03-30	Herbert Burns	Win	KO/TKO	UFC Fight Night	63%
2022-11-12	Montel Jackson	Loss	U-DEC	UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira	43%
2022-04-09	Daniel Santos	Win	U-DEC	UFC 273
2021-11-13	Yadong Song	Loss	KO/TKO	UFC Fight Night	33%
2021-07-24	Andre Ewell	Win	KO/TKO	UFC Fight Night	62%
2019-11-02	Hakeem Dawodu	Loss	S-DEC	UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz	34%
2019-05-18	Julian Erosa	Win	KO/TKO	UFC on ESPN+ 10	63%
2018-11-03	Sheymon Moraes	Loss	S-DEC	UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis	59%
2018-06-01	Daniel Teymur	Win	SUB	UFC Fight Night 131	71%
2018-01-20	Dan Ige	Win	U-DEC	UFC 220: Miocic vs. N'Gannou
2017-08-08	Peter Petties	Win	TKO	DW's Contender Series 2017
2017-06-02	Tim Dooling	Win	DEC	Ring of Combat 59
2017-02-24	Frank Buenafuente	Win	SUB	Ring of Combat 58
2016-11-18	Frank Buenafuente	Win	DEC	Ring of Combat 57
2016-08-06	Francisco Isata	Win	SUB	CFFC 60
2016-03-04	Brian Kelleher	Loss	SUB	Ring of Combat 54
2015-09-25	Brian Kelleher	Loss	DEC	Ring of Combat 52
2015-06-05	Michael Imperato	Win	DEC	Ring of Combat 51
2015-01-23	Thomas Vasquez	Win	TKO	Ring of Combat 50
2014-09-19	Jake Grigson	Win	SUB	Ring of Combat 49
2014-01-24	Jason McLean	Win	DEC	Ring of Combat 47
2013-09-20	Corey Simmons	Win	SUB	Ring of Combat 46
2013-06-14	Dennis Dombrow	Win	DEC	Ring of Combat 45
2012-11-02	Umaer Haq	Win	DEC	XCC: Backlash
2012-07-13	Kenneth Nagle	Win	TKO	Matrix Fights 6