Paul Craig
17–10–1 · Light Heavyweight · Age 38 · 20 UFC fights
Skill (today)
+1.81
Uncertainty (σ)
0.96
As of
2026-09-13
Skill trajectory
Line: estimated skill after each fight. Band: ±1σ uncertainty.
Fight ledger
| Date | Opponent | Result | Method | Event | Model P(win), pre-fight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-06 | Modestas Bukauskas | Loss | KO/TKO | UFC Fight Night | 35% |
| 2024-11-16 | Bo Nickal | Loss | U-DEC | UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic | 35% |
| 2024-05-04 | Caio Borralho | Loss | KO/TKO | UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg | 25% |
| 2023-11-18 | Brendan Allen | Loss | SUB | UFC Fight Night | 25% |
| 2023-08-12 | Ross Cooper | Win | SUB | Holytown Havoc 3 | |
| 2023-07-22 | André Muniz | Win | KO/TKO | UFC Fight Night | 35% |
| 2023-01-21 | Johnny Walker | Loss | KO/TKO | UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill | 42% |
| 2022-09-24 | Jed Hue | Loss | SUB | Polaris 21: Grapple Island | |
| 2022-08-27 | Sam Sweeney | Win | SUB | Holytown Havoc 2 | |
| 2022-07-23 | Volkan Oezdemir | Loss | U-DEC | UFC Fight Night | 51% |
| 2022-03-19 | Nikita Krylov | Win | SUB | UFC Fight Night | 42% |
| 2021-06-12 | Jamahal Hill | Win | KO/TKO | UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 | 36% |
| 2020-11-21 | Maurício Rua | Win | KO/TKO | UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez | 65% |
| 2020-07-25 | Gadzhimurad Antigulov | Win | SUB | UFC Fight Night | 54% |
| 2019-11-16 | Maurício Rua | Draw | S-DEC | UFC on ESPN+ 22 | |
| 2019-09-21 | Vinicius Moreira | Win | SUB | UFC on ESPN+ 17 | 58% |
| 2019-06-29 | Alonzo Menifield | Loss | KO/TKO | UFC on ESPN 3 | 38% |
| 2019-03-30 | Kennedy Nzechukwu | Win | SUB | UFC on ESPN 2 | |
| 2018-12-01 | Jimmy Crute | Loss | SUB | UFC Fight Night 142 | |
| 2018-03-17 | Magomed Ankalaev | Win | SUB | UFC Fight Night 127 | |
| 2017-07-16 | Khalil Rountree Jr. | Loss | KO/TKO | UFC Fight Night 113 | 61% |
| 2017-03-04 | Tyson Pedro | Loss | KO/TKO | UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 | 60% |
| 2016-12-17 | Luis Henrique da Silva | Win | SUB | UFC on FOX 22 | |
| 2015-11-14 | Marcin Łazarz | Win | SUB | BAMMA 23: Night Of Champions | |
| 2015-09-19 | Karl Moore | Win | SUB | BAMMA 22: Duquesnoy Vs. Loughnane | |
| 2015-06-20 | Adam Wright | Win | SUB | Animalistic MMA | |
| 2015-04-11 | Andrej Bochorz | Win | SUB | FightStar Championship 5 | |
| 2014-09-13 | Dan Konecke | Win | TKO | First Fighting Championship | |
| 2014-06-21 | Jon Ferguson | Win | SUB | Full Contact Contender 10 | |
| 2014-03-01 | Antonio Braga | Win | SUB | UXC 2: Moore vs Reid | |
| 2013-08-24 | Brad Carter | Win | SUB | First Fighting Championship 3 |