Geoff Neal
16–8–0 · Welterweight · Age 36 · 14 UFC fights
Skill (today)
+2.80
Uncertainty (σ)
0.93
As of
2026-09-13
Skill trajectory
Line: estimated skill after each fight. Band: ±1σ uncertainty.
Fight ledger
| Date | Opponent | Result | Method | Event | Model P(win), pre-fight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | Uros Medic | Loss | KO/TKO | UFC Fight Night | 45% |
| 2025-08-16 | Carlos Prates | Loss | KO/TKO | UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev | 50% |
| 2024-10-26 | Rafael dos Anjos | Win | KO/TKO | UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway | 58% |
| 2024-02-17 | Ian Machado Garry | Loss | S-DEC | UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria | 21% |
| 2023-03-04 | Shavkat Rakhmonov | Loss | SUB | UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane | 29% |
| 2022-08-06 | Vicente Luque | Win | KO/TKO | UFC Fight Night | 39% |
| 2021-12-11 | Santiago Ponzinibbio | Win | S-DEC | UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier | 39% |
| 2021-05-08 | Neil Magny | Loss | U-DEC | UFC Fight Night | 43% |
| 2020-12-19 | Stephen Thompson | Loss | U-DEC | UFC Fight Night | 62% |
| 2019-12-14 | Mike Perry | Win | KO/TKO | UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington | 61% |
| 2019-07-27 | Niko Price | Win | KO/TKO | UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar | 56% |
| 2019-01-19 | Belal Muhammad | Win | U-DEC | UFC on ESPN+ 1 | 43% |
| 2018-09-08 | Frank Camacho | Win | KO/TKO | UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till | 69% |
| 2018-02-18 | Brian Camozzi | Win | SUB | UFC Fight Night 126 | |
| 2017-07-25 | Chase Waldon | Win | TKO | DW's Contender Series 2017 | |
| 2017-07-14 | Bilal Williams | Win | TKO | LFA 16: Bedford vs. Flick | |
| 2017-01-28 | Kevin Holland | Loss | TKO | XKO 34 | |
| 2015-10-23 | Ty Flores | Win | TKO | Rumble Time Promotions | |
| 2014-11-14 | Charlie Ontiveros | Win | TKO | Legacy FC 37 | |
| 2014-06-20 | Christopher Anthony | Win | DEC | Legacy FC 32 | |
| 2013-08-17 | Armando Servin | Win | DEC | XKO 19 | |
| 2013-04-19 | Martin Sano | Loss | SUB | Enemy of the State | |
| 2013-01-12 | Zack Board | Win | TKO | XKO 17 | |
| 2012-08-25 | David McAfee | Win | SUB | Blood & Glory 1 |